| Tag | Value |
|---|---|
| file | Probability_vufsw-probability-0071-en_vufsw-probability-0071-en |
| name | vufsw-probability-0071-en |
| section | probability |
| type | schoice |
| solution | FALSE, FALSE, FALSE, FALSE, TRUE, FALSE |
| Type | calculation |
| Program | calculator |
| Language | English |
| Level | statistical reasoning |
Suppose a politician claims that 53% of Britons in a new referendum on brexit would decide to stay in the European Union. remain.
A researcher doubts this and suspects that in reality is lower. He decides to interview a random sample of respondents (n=202). This survey reveals that 51 percent of voters would still now favor British EU membership. choose.
What is the probability of such a sample outcome (or one even more worse sample outcome), if we assume that the politician’s claim is politician is correct?