Exam 1

  1. Metainformation

    Tag Value
    fileProbability_uva-random-variables-127-en_uva-random-variables-127-en
    nameuva-random-variables-127-en
    sectionProbability/Elementary Probability/Random variables
    typeschoice
    solutionTRUE, FALSE, FALSE
    TypeConceptual, Calculation
    LanguageEnglish
    LevelStatistical Literacy
    IRT-Difficulty0.552
    p-value0.9036

    Question

    A diagnostic tool for the rare tropical disease Koeles Black Fever (KBF) has sensitivity 0.80 and specificity 0.90. The probability of a traveler contracting the disease is 0.02. What is the probability that someone who the tool says has the disease actually has KBF suffers from KBF?


    1. TRUE: 0.14
    2. FALSE: 0.50
    3. FALSE: 0.72

    1. 0.14: Correct
    2. 0.50: Incorrect
    3. 0.72: Incorrect