| Tag | Value |
|---|---|
| file | Inferential_Statistics_uva-bayesian-statistics-968-en_uva-bayesian-statistics-968-en |
| name | uva-bayesian-statistics-968-en |
| section | Inferential Statistics/Bayesian Statistics |
| type | schoice |
| solution | FALSE, TRUE, FALSE, FALSE |
| Type | Conceptual |
| Language | English |
| Level | Statistical Literacy |
| IRT-Difficulty | 2 |
| p-value | 0.5905 |
Suppose it is known that a 0.001 proportion of Dutch women have disease D. There is a test to detect this disease. That test is not always reliable: in 0.05 of the cases in which the person has the disease, the test gives the result Òno disease = negative result’. 0.95 of such patients are detected with a positive result. Furthermore, a person who does not have the disease gets a negative result in 0.95 of the cases. What is the probability if you randomly choose a woman, that she has the disease D, given that her test has a positive test result?