Exam 1

  1. Metainformation

    Tag Value
    fileInferential_Statistics_uva-bayesian-statistics-840-en_uva-bayesian-statistics-840-en
    nameuva-bayesian-statistics-840-en
    sectionInferential Statistics/Bayesian Statistics
    typeschoice
    solutionFALSE, FALSE, TRUE
    TypeConceptual, Calculation
    LanguageEnglish
    LevelStatistical Literacy
    IRT-Difficulty2.914
    p-value0.4121

    Question

    A diagnostic tool for the rare tropical disease Waldorps Black Fever (WBF) has sensitivity 0.80 and specificity 0.90. The probability of a traveler contracting the disease is 0.01. What is the probability that someone who the instrument says has the disease actually has WBF leads?


    1. FALSE: 0.01
    2. FALSE: 0.04
    3. TRUE: 0.07

    1. 0.01: Incorrect
    2. 0.04: Incorrect
    3. 0.07: Correct